THE YAP – MARCH 10, 2025

Straight Facts. No Bias. No Noise. Just News.

THE YAP – MARCH 10, 2025
Straight Facts. No Bias. No Noise. Just News.

IN THIS ISSUE:

💰 Trump’s tariffs hit Canadian seafood – Small businesses brace for rising costs.
📉 Markets react to trade war fears – Dow tumbles as investors face uncertainty.
🏦 Bank of Canada’s rate decision looms – Could another cut be on the way?
🚨 Liberal Party names new leader in Canada – Trudeau’s successor steps in.
📊 U.S. jobs report misses expectations – Manufacturing rises, but layoffs loom.

🗳️ Politics

House Republicans Push to Extend Federal Funding, Government Shutdown Looms

  • House Republicans plan to vote on a funding extension through September.

  • If negotiations fail, a government shutdown could follow.

  • Democrats and the White House are pushing for a broader funding deal.

🔍 What This Means: A shutdown could disrupt government services, delay federal paychecks, and hurt market confidence.

Secret Service Shoots Armed Man Near the White House

  • A confrontation led to Secret Service opening fire on an armed suspect.

  • The situation is under investigation, with no reported threats to the President.

🔍 What This Means: Expect heightened security in Washington D.C., possibly affecting political events and tourism.

📉 Economy

Trump Declines to Rule Out a 2025 Recession

  • Trump says the economy is in a "transition phase" under his policies.

  • He avoided committing to whether a recession is imminent.

🔍 What This Means: Markets dislike uncertainty—Trump’s comments could fuel economic anxiety and cautious investor sentiment.

GDP Contraction Warning: Atlanta Fed Predicts -2.4% Growth for Q1 2025

  • The economy may have shrunk in Q1, signaling slowing growth.

  • Consumer spending remains weak, while interest rates remain high.

🔍 What This Means: If confirmed, this could push the Fed to consider rate cuts sooner than expected.

Goldman Sachs Raises Recession Odds to 20%

  • Goldman economists increased their 12-month recession forecast from 15% to 20%.

  • Concerns stem from weaker corporate earnings and slowing hiring.

🔍 What This Means: Business leaders and investors may brace for slower growth, impacting hiring and stock valuations.

📊 Business & Markets

US Stock Futures Drop as Trump Stokes Recession Fears

  • Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq futures are all in the red this morning.

  • Investors await inflation data and the Fed’s next move.

🔍 What This Means: Expect a choppy trading session as investors digest recession risks and potential policy changes.

Rocket Companies (RKT) Acquires Redfin (RDFN) for $1.75 Billion

  • The deal is all-stock, valuing Redfin at a premium.

  • Rocket looks to expand its real estate footprint amid a housing slowdown.

🔍 What This Means: This could shake up the online real estate market as consolidation continues.

Oracle (ORCL) Drops 1.5% Premarket Ahead of Earnings

  • Investors await updates on Oracle’s cloud and AI expansion.

  • Earnings results could set the tone for tech stocks this week.

🔍 What This Means: If Oracle disappoints, expect tech sector weakness.

Primaris REIT Exposes Ties to Hudson’s Bay, Now Facing Creditor Protection

  • Hudson’s Bay Company has entered restructuring proceedings.

  • Primaris REIT could face financial headwinds as a result.

🔍 What This Means: This could shake up Canada’s commercial real estate sector, especially for mall operators.

📈 Investing

Stock Market Recap: S&P 500 -3.1%, Nasdaq -3.45%, Dow -2% Last Week

  • Investors dumped stocks after weak economic data and interest rate concerns.

  • Growth stocks were hit the hardest.

🔍 What This Means: Volatility remains high—investors may look for safety in bonds or defensive stocks.

GIFT Nifty Down 46 Points, Suggesting Flat Market Open

  • Early indicators show a cautious trading session ahead.

🔍 What This Means: Uncertainty is keeping traders on the sidelines—expect low-volume trading.

🖥️ Technology

Oracle’s $500 Billion Stargate AI Joint Venture May Be Addressed in Earnings Call

  • Oracle is rumored to discuss its AI infrastructure plans.

  • The project is aimed at competing with Nvidia and other cloud providers.

🔍 What This Means: If confirmed, this could be a major shake-up in the AI space.

₿ Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin Crashes 5% to $81,920 After Trump’s Crypto Reserve Order Disappoints

  • Investors expected more favorable policies from Trump.

  • Ethereum (-3%) and Solana (-7%) followed Bitcoin’s drop.

🔍 What This Means: The crypto market remains volatile, reacting strongly to regulatory moves.

🛍️ Retail

Hudson’s Bay Files for Creditor Protection

  • The struggling retailer has officially entered restructuring.

  • Suppliers and landlords will likely take a hit.

🔍 What This Means: More store closures and layoffs could follow, impacting Canada’s retail sector.

🌍 International News

Israel Cuts Off Electricity to Gaza “Immediately”

  • The Israeli government made the decision as tensions escalate.

  • Humanitarian concerns are rising.

🔍 What This Means: The situation could impact geopolitical stability in the region.

Mark Carney Wins Liberal Leadership, Becomes Canada’s Next Prime Minister

  • Carney, a former central banker, takes over as Liberal leader.

  • He is expected to focus on economic policy and international trade.

🔍 What This Means: Canada’s economic policies could shift significantly under his leadership.

China Retaliates Against Canada with New Tariffs on Agricultural Goods

  • China is targeting Canadian exports in response to policy disputes.

🔍 What This Means: Canadian farmers and agribusinesses could feel the impact, potentially raising food prices.

💡 TheYAP.co – Your No-Nonsense Daily Read on Business, Money, Politics & Tech.